This paper extracts the elements of energy transition issue
emphasizing that the behaviors of stakeholders such as policy makers
and energy suppliers can impact the energy transition dynamic significantly. The main aims(explanation
prediction
projection
and optimization)
contents
and challenges of energy transition researches are presented
and the state-of-the-art research paradigms for energy transition and their limitations on addressing the challenges introduced by human behaviors are reviewed. Finally
this paper suggests a new research paradigm
hybrid simulation of technology-economic-behavior model with human participants
in which the energy transition target and pathway is optimized by repeatedly carrying out experimental economic simulation. The subsequent paper will discuss the uncertainties and analysis approaches in the energy transition researches.