In order to reveal the effect of output correlation of distributed generators (DGs) on the microgrid generation system reliability
the probability transformation of Nataf and the Gauss multi-numerical integration are used to obtain the mathematical model for the correlation obeying non-normal distribution. Then
on the basis of considering several elements affecting reliability
such as the force outage and the nonlinear output of DGs
an assessment model for microgrid generation reliability is proposed
and the Monte-Carlo method is used to solve the model. In the case
by analyzing the reliability indices under the influence of output characteristics of DGs
the ratio of total DG capacity versus load capacity and variation of primary energy correlation coefficient