

浏览全部资源
扫码关注微信
1.东南大学电气工程学院,江苏省南京市 210096
2.国网电力科学研究院有限公司(南瑞集团有限公司),江苏省南京市 211106
Received:16 January 2024,
Revised:2024-09-05,
Published Online:24 September 2024,
Published:10 May 2025
移动端阅览
张翼飞,薛禹胜,黄杰等.碳排市场与碳汇市场之间当量协同机制的仿真验证[J].电力系统自动化,2025,49(9):31-39.
ZHANG Yifei,XUE Yusheng,HUANG Jie,et al.Simulation-based Validation of Equivalent Coordination Mechanism Between Carbon Emission Market and Carbon Sink Market[J].Automation of Electric Power Systems,2025,49(9):31-39.
张翼飞,薛禹胜,黄杰等.碳排市场与碳汇市场之间当量协同机制的仿真验证[J].电力系统自动化,2025,49(9):31-39. DOI: 10.7500/AEPS20240116009.
ZHANG Yifei,XUE Yusheng,HUANG Jie,et al.Simulation-based Validation of Equivalent Coordination Mechanism Between Carbon Emission Market and Carbon Sink Market[J].Automation of Electric Power Systems,2025,49(9):31-39. DOI: 10.7500/AEPS20240116009.
为避免温室效应颠覆全球自然环境,可通过增加碳汇量来对消那些由于更难甚至不可能减少而被容忍的碳排量,从而整体趋于碳中和甚至负碳。碳减排和碳增汇这两类措施的技术及经济特性均不相同,为了以最小的机会成本实现碳中和,需要对目标及路径进行双层优化,这涉及规划、运行、科技、市场、资本、政策等领域。碳排市场及碳汇市场都按各自的机制运营,却又在多时间尺度上相互影响。基于分类监管与当量协同的碳市场框架,构建了验证该框架有效性的混合仿真沙盘推演环境,设计了当量决策的控制逻辑与控制参数。该决策机制可根据推演路径与候选路径的偏移信号自动地调节当量,引导资金及人才等社会资源向碳减排或碳增汇领域投入,使碳中和的演化路径能及时跟踪候选路径,为碳中和目标与路径的双层优化提供了可行性。
To avoid the greenhouse effect from disrupting the global natural environment
it can increase carbon sinks to offset those carbon emissions that are tolerated because they are more difficult or even impossible to reduce
so that the overall tendency is to approach carbon neutrality or even negative carbon emission. The technical and economic characteristics of the two types of measures of carbon emission reduction and carbon sink expansion are different. To achieve carbon neutrality with the least opportunity cost
it is necessary to optimize its goals and paths in two layers
involving planning
operation
technology
market
capital
policy
and other fields. The carbon emission market and the carbon sink market operate according to their mechanisms but interact on multiple time scales. Based on the carbon market framework of classified regulation and equivalent coordination
a hybrid simulation and sand table deduction environment is constructed to verify the effectiveness of the framework
and the control logic and parameters of equivalent decision-making are designed. In the decision mechanism
the equivalent quantities can be automatically adjusted based on the offset signal between the deduction path and the candidate path
guiding social resources such as talents and capital to invest in the fields of carbon emission reduction or carbon sink expansion
ensuring that the evolution path of carbon neutrality dynamically aligns with the candidate path in time
which provides the feasibility for the two-layer optimization of carbon neutrality goals and paths.
丁仲礼 , 张涛 . 碳中和:逻辑体系与技术需求 [M]. 北京 : 科学出版社 , 2022 .
DING Zhongli , ZHANG Tao . Carbon neutrality: logical framework and technological requirements [M]. Beijing : Science Press , 2022 .
方精云 . 碳中和的生态学透视 [J]. 植物生态学报 , 2021 , 45 ( 11 ): 1173 - 1176 .
FANG Jingyun . Ecological perspectives of carbon neutrality [J]. Chinese Journal of Plant Ecology , 2021 , 45 ( 11 ): 1173 - 1176 .
ICAP . Emissions trading worldwide: status report 2024 [R]. Berlin,Germany : International Carbon Action Partnership , 2024 .
Forest Trends’ Ecosystem Marketplace . State of the voluntary carbon markets [R]. Washington DC,USA : Forest Trends Association , 2023 .
EBONY B . Here are 23 times carbon offsets were found to be dodgy [EB/OL]. [ 2023-09-25 ]. https://australiainstitute.org.au/post/here-are-23-times-carbon-offsets-were-found-to-be-dodg-y-2/ https://australiainstitute.org.au/post/here-are-23-times-carbon-offsets-were-found-to-be-dodg-y-2/ .
ISO . Climate change management transition to net zero : ISO 14068-1-2023 [S]. Geneva, Switzerland : ISO , 2023 .
European Parliament . Proposal for a directive of the European parliament and of the council amending directives 2005 / 29 /EC and 2011 / 83 /EU as regards empowering consumers for the green transition through better protection against unfair practices and better information[EB/OL]. [ 2024-01-17 ]. https://www.europarl.europa.eu/doceo/document/TA-9-2024-0018_EN.html https://www.europarl.europa.eu/doceo/document/TA-9-2024-0018_EN.html .
World Bank . State and trends of carbon pricing 2023 [R]. Washington DC, USA : World Bank , 2023 .
王科 , 吕晨 . 中国碳市场建设成效与展望(2024) [R]. 北京 : 北京理工大学能源与环境政策研究中心 , 2024 .
WANG Ke , LYU Chen . The effectiveness and outlook of China’s carbon market construction (2024) [R]. Beijing : Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology , 2024 .
薛禹胜 , 黄杰 , 王放 , 等 . 基于分类监管与当量协同的碳市场框架设计方案 [J]. 电力系统自动化 , 2020 , 44 ( 13 ): 1 - 8 .
XUE Yusheng , HUANG Jie , WANG Fang , et al . Carbon market framework design based on classified regulation and equivalent coordination [J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems , 2020 , 44 ( 13 ): 1 - 8 .
XUE Y S , YU X H . Beyond smart grid-cyber-physical-social system in energy future [J]. Proceedings of the IEEE , 2017 , 105 ( 12 ): 2290 - 2292 .
薛禹胜 . 涌现机制的研究框架——系统模型与其仿真轨迹深度融合的整体还原论 [EB/OL].[ 2024-06-10 ]. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/ymcWLN456eF2plYpNNIyyw https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/ymcWLN456eF2plYpNNIyyw .
XUE Yusheng . A research framework for emergence mechanisms—the whole-reductionism thinking for deep integration of system models and their simulation trajectories [EB/OL]. [ 2024-06-10 ]. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/ymcW LN456eF2plYpNNIyyw https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/ymcWLN456eF2plYpNNIyyw .
薛禹胜 . CPSSE视野下的双碳路径——能源流-排放流-货币流-行为流 [EB/OL].[ 2024-06-10 ]. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/28RH19hNm-s-R3NWJsEB0A https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/28RH19hNm-s-R3NWJsEB0A .
XUE Yusheng . Dual carbon pathways from the perspective of CPSSE—energy flow-emission flow-currency flow-behavior flow [EB/OL]. [ 2024-06-10 ]. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/28RH19hNm-s-R3NWJsEB0A https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/28RH19hNm-s-R3NWJsEB0A .
冷俊 , 薛禹胜 . “双碳”目标下,新型电力系统发展路径的优化思路 [J]. 中国电力企业管理 , 2021 ( 19 ): 11 - 13 .
LENG Jun , XUE Yusheng . Optimization ideas for the development path of new power systems under the “dual carbon” goal [J]. China Power Enterprise Management , 2021 ( 19 ): 11 - 13 .
南瑞集团有限公司,国电南瑞科技股份有限公司,国网电力科学研究院有限公司 . 一种在演化路径与规划目标之间迭代的优化算法 : CN108446792B [P]. 2021-11-05 .
NARI Group Corporation , NARI Technology Company Limited , State Grid Electric Power Research Institute . An iterative optimization algorithm between evolutionary paths and target paths : CN108446792B [P]. 2021-11-05 .
薛禹胜 , 赖业宁 . 大能源思维与大数据思维的融合:(二)应用及探索 [J]. 电力系统自动化 , 2016 , 40 ( 8 ): 1 - 13 .
XUE Yusheng , LAI Yening . Integration of macro energy thinking and big data thinking: Part two applications and explorations [J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems , 2016 , 40 ( 8 ): 1 - 13 .
舒印彪 , 薛禹胜 , 蔡斌 , 等 . 关于能源转型分析的评述:(一)转型要素及研究范式 [J]. 电力系统自动化 , 2018 , 42 ( 9 ): 1 - 15 .
SHU Yinbiao , XUE Yusheng , CAI Bin , et al . A review of energy transition analysis: Part one elements and paradigms [J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems , 2018 , 42 ( 9 ): 1 - 15 .
薛禹胜 , 吴巨爱 , 谢东亮 , 等 . 关于在决策推演中计入博弈行为的评述 [J]. 电力系统自动化 , 2023 , 47 ( 16 ): 1 - 9 .
XUE Yusheng , WU Juai , XIE Dongliang , et al . Review on considering gaming behaviors in decision-making simulation deduction [J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems , 2023 , 47 ( 16 ): 1 - 9 .
XUE Y S , WU J A , XIE D L , et al . Multi-agents modelling of EV purchase willingness based on questionnaires [J]. Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy , 2015 , 3 ( 2 ): 149 - 159 .
WU J A , XUE Y S , XIE D L , et al . Multi-agent modeling and analysis of EV users’ travel willingness based on an integrated causal/statistical/behavioral model [J]. Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy , 2018 , 6 ( 6 ): 1255 - 1263 .
黄杰 , 薛禹胜 , 蒋超 , 等 . 碳市场风险的分析与控制:(一)框架设计 [J]. 电力系统自动化 , 2018 , 42 ( 12 ): 11 - 18 .
HUANG Jie , XUE Yusheng , JIANG Chao , et al . Carbon market risk analysis and control: Part Ⅰ framework design [J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems , 2018 , 42 ( 12 ): 11 - 18 .
蒋超 , 薛禹胜 , 黄杰 , 等 . 碳市场风险的分析与控制:(二)沙盘推演 [J]. 电力系统自动化 , 2018 , 42 ( 14 ): 1 - 7 .
JIANG Chao , XUE Yusheng , HUANG Jie , et al . Carbon market risk analysis and control: Part Ⅱ sand-table simulation [J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems , 2018 , 42 ( 14 ): 1 - 7 .
薛禹胜 , 谢东亮 , 薛峰 , 等 . 支持信息-物理-社会系统研究的跨领域交互仿真平台 [J]. 电力系统自动化 , 2022 , 46 ( 10 ): 138 - 148 .
XUE Yusheng , XIE Dongliang , XUE Feng , et al . A cross-field interactive simulation platform for supporting research on cyber-physical-social systems [J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems , 2022 , 46 ( 10 ): 138 - 148 .
薛禹胜 . 整体思维与还原思维的贯通,基础研究与应用研究的共进 [EB/OL].[ 2024-06-10 ]. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/LBZZZiVjxkj_F-besux4BA https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/LBZZZiVjxkj_F-besux4BA .
XUE Yusheng . Integration of whole thinking and reductionism thinking, co-progress of basic research and applied research [EB/OL]. [ 2024-06-10 ]. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/LBZZZiVjx kj_F-besux4BA https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/LBZZZiVjxkj_F-besux4BA .
0
Views
0
下载量
0
CSCD
Publicity Resources
Related Articles
Related Author
Related Institution
京公网安备11010802024621