PU Yuting,YANG Honggeng,MA Xiaoyang.Analysis and Evaluation of Voltage Sag Severity Based on Data Mining and Improved Grey Target Theory[J].Automation of Electric Power Systems,2020,44(02):197-205.
PU Yuting,YANG Honggeng,MA Xiaoyang.Analysis and Evaluation of Voltage Sag Severity Based on Data Mining and Improved Grey Target Theory[J].Automation of Electric Power Systems,2020,44(02):197-205. DOI: 10.7500/AEPS20190326014.
Analysis and Evaluation of Voltage Sag Severity Based on Data Mining and Improved Grey Target Theory
Aiming at the problem of voltage sag severity evaluation
a data mining and analysis method based on mutual information and improved grey target theory is proposed. The index of sag distance and cross influence domain is proposed
and the framework of severity evaluation is established considering various characteristic attributes of voltage sag. A mutual information network model is constructed for data mining of voltage sag
and a voltage sag knowledge base is built by using connection weight to extract rules to preliminarily analyze the severity level of voltage sag in the whole grid
which avoids the problem of conflict rules caused by traditional support and confidence based data mining methods. An improved method for calculating the target centricity is proposed. Combining with the sag severity level of the whole grid obtained from data mining
a conditional search model of voltage sag severity is established to evaluate the sag severity of substation
which solves the problem of multiple matching results and improves the accuracy of voltage sag evaluation. The feasibility of the proposed method is verified by an example analysis.
关键词
Keywords
references
PRUDENZI A , QUAIA S , ZANINELLI D . Surveying PQ aspects in Italian industrial customers [C]// IEEE PES Transmission and Distribution Conference and Exposition , September 7 - 12 , 2003 , Dallas, USA: 211 - 216 .
GOSWAMI A K . Voltage sag assessment in a large chemical industry [J]. IEEE Transactions on Industry Applications , 2012 , 48 ( 5 ): 1739 - 1746 .
REN Chao , XU Yan , ZHANG Yuchen . Post-disturbance transient stability assessment of power systems towards optimal accuracy-speed tradeoff [J]. Protection and Control of Modern Power Systems , 2018 , 3 ( 3 ): 194 - 203 .
JHAN Y C , MILANOVIC J V , DELAHUNTY A . Generic failure-risk assessment of industrial processes due to voltage sags [J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery , 2009 , 24 ( 4 ): 2405 - 2414 .
PARK C H , JANG G . Stochastic estimation of voltage sags in a large meshed network [J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery , 2007 , 22 ( 3 ): 1655 - 1664 .
JUÁREZ E E , HERNÁNDEZ A . An analytical approach for stochastic assessment of balanced and unbalanced voltage sags in large systems [J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery , 2006 , 21 ( 3 ): 1493 - 1500 .
PARK C H , JANG G , TOMAS R J . The influence of generator scheduling and time-varying fault rates on voltage sag prediction [J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery , 2008 , 23 ( 2 ): 1243 - 1250 .
MILANOVIC J V , AUNG M T , GUPTA C P . The influence of fault distribution on stochastic prediction of voltage sags [J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery , 2005 , 20 ( 1 ): 278 - 285 .
HERNANDEZ A , JUAREZ E E , DE CASTRO R M , et al . SVD applied to voltage sag state estimation [J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery , 2012 , 28 ( 2 ): 866 - 874 .
LEI Gang , GU Wei , YUAN Xiaodong . A voltage sag index considering compatibility between system and sensitive equipment [J]. Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society , 2010 , 25 ( 12 ): 132 - 138 .
ZHOU Xiang , WANG Fenghua , HUANG Ronghui , et al . Assessment of voltage sags in substations based on power system and equipment sensitivity analysis [J]. Proceedings of the CSEE , 2015 , 35 ( 8 ): 1940 - 1946 .
LUO Yan . Research and realization of voltage sag forecast and warning system on association rules [D]. Beijing : North China Electric Power University , 2014 .
TIAN Shiming , BU Fanpeng , QI Linhai , et al . Frequent pattern mining and knowledge reasoning of voltage sag events [J]. Electric Power Construction , 2018 , 39 ( 5 ): 21 - 27 .
SHEN Xiang , YANG Honggeng , DUAN Chen . An analytical method of data mining on voltage sag based on gray target theory and cloud model [J]. Power System Technology , 2019 , 43 ( 2 ): 722 - 731 .
ZHAO Chenxue , TAO Shun , XIAO Xiangning . Fault location estimation based on voltage sag information of PQMS [J]. Power System Technology , 2016 , 40 ( 2 ): 642 - 648 .
BAO Hai , FANG Guojun . A new method of electrical distance calculation and its applications used the equivalent transmission impedance method [J]. Power System Technology , 2019 , 43 ( 1 ): 244 - 250 .
YUAN Yuan , WU Danyue , LIN Yan , et al . Study on assessment system of voltage sags [J]. Power System Technology , 2010 , 34 ( 6 ): 128 - 133 .
CHAN J Y , MILANOVIC J V . Severity indices for assessment of equipment sensitivity to voltage sags and short interruptions [C]// IEEE Power Engineering Society General Meeting , June 24 - 28 , 2007 , Tampa, USA: 1 - 7 .
LIAO H , ABDELRAHMAN S , GUO Y , et al . Identification of weak areas of power network based on exposure to voltage sags: Part Ⅰ development of sag severity index for single-event characterization [J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery , 2015 , 30 ( 6 ): 2392 - 2400 .
SHANNON C E . A mathematical theory of communication [J]. Bell System Technical Journal , 1948 , 27 ( 3 ): 379 - 423 .
SHI Kunpeng , QIAO Ying , ZHAO Wei , et al . Short-term wind power prediction based on entropy association information mining of historical data [J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems , 2017 , 41 ( 3 ): 13 - 18 .
ZHANG Yang . Power system fault diagnosis based on DS evidence theory and mutual information network [D]. Chengdu : Southwest Jiaotong University , 2010 .
邓聚龙 . 灰理论基础 [M]. 武汉 : 华中科技大学出版社 , 2002 .
DENG Julong . Grey theory basis [M]. Wuhan : Huazhong University of Science & Technology Press , 2002 .
CHEN Yongming . Empirical analysis and improvement on gray target transformation [C]// 2007 IEEE International Conference on Grey Systems and Intelligent Services , November 18 - 20 , 2007 , Nanjing, China: 638 - 642 .
范明 , 孟小峰 . 数据挖掘概念与技术 [M]. 北京 : 机械工业出版社 , 2012 .
FAN Ming , MENG Xiaofeng . Data mining concepts and techniques [M]. Beijing : China Machine Press , 2012 .