

浏览全部资源
扫码关注微信
在未来的电力零售市场,更多的售电企业为规避风险,提高市场占有率和持续性,有必要向拥有零售选择权的终端用户提供科学合理并具有竞争力的售电套餐,为此提出一种售电套餐设计优化的新思路。首先,考虑用户消费的偏好行为,引入分类同化系数建立消费者内部参考价格(IRP)决策模型,定义单个用户的黏性行为(或称为惰性行为),建立单个用户黏性函数。然后,建立用户决策矩阵反映群体用户对套餐的选择情况,建立基于用户黏性和决策矩阵的售电企业总效用目标函数,以固定费用和单位费用相结合的套餐结构为基础,以套餐价格为变量,对最优目标进行搜索。接着,采用交叉粒子群算法,将传统的搜索方式改进为以元胞数组为单位的种群多区域同时搜索。同时,利用对决策矩阵的两次修正模拟用户无偏好条件下的绝对理性消费和存在偏好条件下的非理性消费。最后进行算例分析,通过对比优化前后潜在用户对套餐的选择情况,验证了模型的可行性与优化效果。
In order to avoid risks and improve the market share and sustainability of electricity sales companies in the future electricity retail market
it is necessary to provide end-users who have retail options with scientific
reasonable and competitive electricity sales package. A new idea for sales package design optimization is proposed. The decision model for consumers' internal reference price(IRP)is built considering the preference behavior of consumers and introducing classification assimilation coefficient. The sticky behavior(or inertia behavior)of a single user is defined
and the sticky function for a single user is established. The user decision matrix is established to reflect the package selection by group users and the total utility function of electricity sales companies is formulated based on user stickiness and decision matrix. To search for the optimal object
the package structure combining fixed costs and unit costs is taken as a basis
while the package price as a variable. The cross particle swarm optimization(PSO)algorithm is used to improve the traditional method for searching multiple populations simultaneously by taking the cell array as a unit. At the same time
two amendments are made to the decision matrix to simulate the absolutely rational consumption under the condition of no preference and the irrational consumption under the condition of preference. Finally
a case study is conducted to verify the feasibility and optimization effect of the model by comparing packages selection by the potential customers before and after optimization.
0
Views
2571
下载量
13
CSCD
Publicity Resources
Related Articles
Related Author
Related Institution
京公网安备11010802024621