The traditional method of correlation analysis is limited to obtaining the superficial correlation while incapable of mining the potential correlation information between the sequences
but leading to the loss of the reference information provided to power system for operation and dispatching. For this reason
an optimal time-delay method is proposed to analyze the potential correlation between generalized load sequences. By delaying the sequences properly
the proposed method digs out the indirect correlation between generalized load sequences. Firstly
the time shift range and time monotonicity of sequences are regarded as constraints
then the objective function is built to obtain the maximum Pearson correlation coefficient. Secondly
the calculation strategy of the model is proposed. Finally
the data of a German region is taken to act as an example to analyze and calculate the correlation of each day
each month and whole year respectively
and then the maximum correlation coefficient and the required shift time are statistically obtained. The analysis results show that
compared with the traditional analysis method
the proposed method can dig out the potential delay correlation between sequences. As a result
the method of correlation analysis of generalized sequences
which includes wind energy
photovoltaic energy
load and etcetera
is perfected and provides more comprehensive reference information to power system for operation and dispatching.