To reveal the internal dynamics mechanism of blackouts in Chinese power grid from the macro and global perspective
the correlation of blackouts in Chinese power grid is analyzed. Firstly
based on the relative value and the R/S method
the power loss correlation of blackouts in Chinese power grid from 1981 to 2014 is researched. It is proved that the power losses of blackouts in Chinese power grid have the strong long-range correlation
to determine the direction of correlation
and to effectively measure the degree of correlation according to the Hurst exponent. Secondly
over time
the change of the power loss correlation of blackouts in Chinese power grid is analyzed. It is revealed that the positive correlation is becoming stronger while the degree of correlation is becoming higher than the power losses of blackouts in Chinese power grid. Finally
on the macro level
the trend of the absolute value continues to be increase and relative value continues to be decrease for the power losses of large blackouts in Chinese power grid in the next few years can be predicted.