Uncertainty analysis of power system time-domain simulation is mainly concerned with the study of the influence of uncertainty factors in power system on time-domain simulation results. It provides an important reference for analyzing the transient stability of power system under uncertain conditions. A method based on generalized polynomial chaos(gPC)is proposed for uncertainty analysis of time-domain simulation. Approximately
the method assumes that there exists a polynomial relationship between variables and random factors at any time. The solution procedure is as follows. Firstly
the optimal orthogonal polynomial basis function is acquired to approximate the random input variables and unknown variables. Then
by Galerkin method
the stochastic equations which describe the system's transient process are transformed into the corresponding deterministic equations. Finally
by solving these equations
the polynomial approximation coefficients of unknown variables are obtained
which can be used to calculate the statistical results and probability distribution of relevant variables at any time. Case study results from a single-machine infinite bus(SMIB)system and IEEE 9-bus system show the effectiveness of our method.