分布式供能系统场景竞争力的分类评价模型及应用

AN Xiaohua

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分布式供能系统场景竞争力的分类评价模型及应用

更新时间：2025-08-13

- 分布式供能系统场景竞争力的分类评价模型及应用
- Automation of Electric Power Systems Vol. 40, Issue 10, Pages: 69-75(2016)
- 作者机构：
  
  广东省绿色能源技术重点实验室, 华南理工大学电力学院,广东省,广州市,510640
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：
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- Published：2016
- 稿件说明：
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AN Xiaohua. [J]. Automation of electric power systems, 2016, 40(10): 69-75.
DOI：

AN Xiaohua. [J]. Automation of electric power systems, 2016, 40(10): 69-75. DOI：

摘要

分布式供能系统影响因素纷繁复杂，发展场景类型多样，针对其投建规划与经济评价中缺乏量化方法的问题，文中建立一种分布式供能系统场景竞争力的分类评价模型。首先，考虑反映场景竞争力的软硬性条件，建立分布式供能系统场景竞争力的三级评价指标体系，并以指标高贡献率及数据易获取性为原则，筛选出场景竞争力的实用评价指标；然后，对分布式供能系统进行自上而下的全面逐级分类，系统分析各类型场景的发展特点；最后，以实用评价指标为输入变量，以场景竞争力的分类评价值为输出变量，在采用熵权法针对不同场景引入指标贡献系数的基础上，结合层次分析法进行场景竞争力评价值的求解。基于南方部分省区分布式供能系统的统计数据进行算例分析，验证了模型的有效性和适用性。

Abstract

Taking into account the complexity of influencing factors for the distributed energy supply system

the great variety of development scenarios

and lack of a quantitative method of investment planning and economy evaluation

a classified evaluation model of scenario competitiveness for the distributed energy supply system is developed. First

the three-level evaluation index system for scenario competition of the distributed energy supply system is built according to the soft and hard conditions of scenario competition. Practical evaluation indices are chosen on the basis of higher contribution rate of index and easier accessibility. A comprehensive classified system of the distributed supply energy system is then designed. The development of each type of scenario is analyzed

respectively. Finally

with the practical evaluation index as the input variable

the scenario competitiveness classified evaluation value as the output variable

the scenario competitiveness is calculated by using the hierarchical analytic process. Statistical data of distributed energy supply system in part of South China is taken as an example for analysis. The results further verify the effectiveness and adaptability of the model.This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(No. 51377060).

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