计及随机模糊双重不确定性的源网荷协同规划模型

ZHANG Ning

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计及随机模糊双重不确定性的源网荷协同规划模型

更新时间：2025-08-13

- 计及随机模糊双重不确定性的源网荷协同规划模型
- Automation of Electric Power Systems Vol. 40, Issue 1, Pages: 39-44(2016)
- 作者机构：
  
  北京交通大学电气工程学院,北京市,100044
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：
  CLC：
- Published：2016
- 稿件说明：
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ZHANG Ning. [J]. Automation of electric power systems, 2016, 40(1): 39-44.
DOI：

ZHANG Ning. [J]. Automation of electric power systems, 2016, 40(1): 39-44. DOI：

摘要

为应对电源与电网规划建设脱节导致的“弃风”等问题

文中提出一种将电源电网协同规划的模型。同时

鉴于需求侧在电力供需平衡中的潜力

将电力需求侧的能效电厂也纳入电力规划统筹考虑

提出了源网荷协同规划的概念与模型。另外

针对风电等新能源发电给电力系统带来的不确定性

从随机性和模糊性两个角度予以分析和建模

并在源网荷协同规划模型中计及双重不确定性。最后

通过IEEE 30节点系统的算例应用

表明该模型能够有效协调电源与电网的规划建设方案以及能效电厂项目的开展

实现系统总成本最小化

并可合理确定风电机组建设规模

保障资源优化利用。

Abstract

In order to cope with the wind power curtailment problem caused by the disjunction of generation expansion planning and transmission expansion planning

a model is proposed for combining these two sorts of planning. Meanwhile

the energy efficiency programs at the power demand side have also been taken into account in the planning model considering their potential in achieving power supply-demand balance. Accordingly

the concept and model of “source-grid-load coordinated planning” are put forward. Besides

the analysis and modeling of the uncertainties brought about by wind power are carried out from the perspectives of randomness and fuzziness

as they are considered in the model as well. Lastly

a numerical study on an IEEE 30-bus system shows that this model can effectively coordinate the generation expansion

transmission expansion and efficiency power plant programs to realize minimization of the overall cost of the system

and reasonably determine the scale of wind power generation to ensure optimal utilization of resources. This work is supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (No. E15JB00120).

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