To make power network planning and decision-making of operation and maintenance more scientific
a method for estimating optimal economic life interval of transmission line based on minimum annual average cost of life cycle is proposed. The method considers not only the enlistment age
but also climate
natural disaster
geographical and external forces
components
civil work
operation and maintenance as influencing factors on the failure rate of transmission lines. The least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) is then adopted to calculate the failure rates of ordinary failure
large failure and catastrophic failure to make calculated results more credible. In addition
this method uses the theory of interval analysis to calculate different costs of transmission lines
which successfully eliminates the error of cost calculation due to simplex setting value. In the end
a case study proves the effectiveness of the proposed method in evaluating optimal economic life interval of transmission lines
and points out the guidance effect of the evaluation results on power network planning and decision-making of operation and maintenance. This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 51107112).