Automation of Electric Power SystemsVol. 38, Issue 14, Pages: 17-22(2014)
作者机构:
华北电力大学云南电网公司研究生工作站,云南省,昆明市,650217
作者简介:
基金信息:
DOI:
CLC:
Published:2014
稿件说明:
移动端阅览
PAN Xiong. [J]. Automation of electric power systems, 2014, 38(14): 17-22.
DOI:
PAN Xiong. [J]. Automation of electric power systems, 2014, 38(14): 17-22.DOI:
基于混合Copula函数的风电场出力建模方法
摘要
大容量风电场接入系统后
由于其具有间歇性、随机性和不确定性
会对电网潮流分布造成影响。以往的研究大都侧重于解决不同风电场间的风速相关性问题
针对云南电网中大型风电场往往由分布在不同山头的若干风电机群构成的实际情况
风电场内部已经不能单纯地采用一台风电机组等效。基于可以描述不同尾部特性的Copula理论
文中提出基于混合Copula函数建立风电场出力模型的方法。以云南电网某实际风电场为例进行验证分析
在PSD-BPA软件平台上建立该风电场出力模型
并进行系统潮流计算
结果表明
基于混合Copula函数的模型与基于单一Copula函数的模型相比
更接近于历史实测数据模型
二者得到较一致的潮流结果。
Abstract
Because of the randomness
intermittence and uncertainty
the integration of large-scale wind farms in a power system will exert some influence on the distribution of the power flow. Like most studies in the past
the target is always modeling the dependence structure between different wind farms geographically. In view of the situation in Yunnan power grid where a large wind farm power grid is often composed of a number of wind turbine groups scattered on different hilltops
it is no way to simply use one equivalent wind turbine to model the whole wind farm any more. Based on the theory that the Copula function is able to describe different tail characteristics
the mixed Copula function
often abbreviated to M-Copula
is proposed to model the wind farm’s output.As one of the generator nodes in the western Yunnan power grid
a certain wind farm is chosen for empirical analysis. The result shows that the M-Copula function can play almost the same role in wind farm power modeling as the actual turbines’ output on the platform of PSD-BPA