Automation of Electric Power SystemsVol. 32, Issue 1, Pages: 16-21(2008)
作者机构:
1. 清华大学电机系电力系统国家重点实验室,北京市,100084
2. 南洋理工大学电机与电力工程系,新加坡
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基金信息:
DOI:
CLC:
Published:2008
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LIU Haitao, SUN Yuanzhang, CHENG Lin, et al. [J]. Automation of electric power systems, 2008, 32(1): 16-21.
DOI:
LIU Haitao, SUN Yuanzhang, CHENG Lin, et al. [J]. Automation of electric power systems, 2008, 32(1): 16-21.DOI:
计及多状态元件模型的系统状态快速排序技术
摘要
在实际电力系统中
由于元件的停运概率不同
一些高重故障会比低重故障的发生概率大。这些大概率高重故障状态的数量多
且对系统可靠性的影响大。而在可靠性评估中
状态枚举法通常采用截止故障重数进行状态筛选
会忽略掉这些大概率高重故障事件。文中提出计及多状态元件模型的快速排序技术
基于元件异常状态序列与相邻系统状态
能够按照概率从大到小依次选取系统状态
直至满足评估精度或数量要求。与直接选择法相比
计算效率优势十分明显。由于该方法能够选出大概率高重故障状态
因此,与截止故障重数方法相比
该方法只需少量的系统状态就可获得较高的评估精度。最后以IEEERTS为算例验证了该结论。
Abstract
In a practical power system
probabilities of some high level outage states may be larger than those of some low level outage states according to the various outage probabilities of system components. The number of these high level outages with relatively large probabilities can be very large and hence their impact on system reliability can be of great significance. However
only credible system states up to a certain contingency level are usually investigated when the enumeration technique used in the reliability evaluation of power systems. These high level outages with large probabilities will be ignored. The problem can be solved by the fast sorting technique considering multistate component models proposed in this paper. Based on the component outage state sequence and the neighboring system states
the technique can quickly select the required number of the system states in descending probability order. The calculation efficiency for state selection by using the proposed technique is much higher than the direct search method. Equally important
merely a quite small number of system states are required to achieve the relatively high evaluation accuracy by using the proposed technique since the high level outage states with large probabilities are selected. Eventually
the merit of the proposed technique is validated by its application to IEEERTS.