基于SCP和模糊算法的市场力警戒级别评估

ZHANG Ji; ZHANG Lizi; CHENG Yu; YU Liang

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基于SCP和模糊算法的市场力警戒级别评估

更新时间：2025-08-13

- 基于SCP和模糊算法的市场力警戒级别评估
- Automation of Electric Power Systems Vol. 30, Issue 16, (2006)
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 华北电力大学电气工程学院,北京市,102206
  2. 北京电力公司,北京市,100031
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：
  CLC：
- Published：2006
- 稿件说明：
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ZHANG Ji, ZHANG Lizi, CHENG Yu, et al. [J]. Automation of electric power systems, 2006, 30(16).
DOI：

ZHANG Ji, ZHANG Lizi, CHENG Yu, et al. [J]. Automation of electric power systems, 2006, 30(16). DOI：

摘要

市场力的评估和监管是保证电力市场有效运行的重要内容之一。文中提出了按照产业经济学中的结构〖HT5，7〗—〖HT5〗行为〖HT5，7〗—〖HT5〗绩效（SCP）分析框架建立面向整个市场和发电商的市场力评估指标体系，然后用模糊层次综合评估方法对市场、各阻塞区域、各发电商的市场力警戒级别进行实时评估和监控，根据得到的5级警戒级别对市场监控图着以不同警戒色，并按照对S，C，P的警戒级别评估结果做出相应的监管决策机制，可以有效提高监管效率。最后以实际电力市场的市场数据为算例，验证了文中提出的基于SCP和模糊层次综合评估的市场力警戒和监管决策机制可以有效识别出市场中S，C，P各环节的市场力水平以及各发电商的策略报价行为。

Abstract

Market power evaluation and surveillance is one of the most important contents to ensure the effective operation of electricity market. A mechanism that can greatly improve the supervising and managing efficiency is proposed. First

according to the SCP analysis frame (market structure

market behavior

market performance) in the industrial economics

the index systems to evaluate the market power level of the entire market and the market power of specified generation company separately are constructed. Secondly

a fuzzy hierarchy comprehensive evaluation method is presented to evaluate the market power warning levels of the market

congestion areas and specified generation companies in real time. Then

according to the evaluating result of SCP

the monitor map is painted with different colors and the corresponding supervision decision is made to the link of problem in time. Finally

using the historical market data of a real electricity market

it is proved that the market power warning and surveillance decision-making mechanism based on SCP model proposed can effectively identify the market power level of S

P and the tactical bidding behaviors of generation companies.

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